Archive for the ‘VA mortgages’ Category

FHA Mortgage rates to Rise

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Everett Mortgage Expect higher Interest Rates Soon

As of March 1st expect FHA mortgage rates, VA mortgage rates, and all other long term interest rates to rise. Expect prices for homes for sale in Everett to fall. I am not Chicken Little and saying the sky is falling but there is going to be some very dark clouds coming soon. Here is why. The Federal Reserve Bank (the Fed) will no longer be buying Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) on the open market. I know you are saying how is that going to effect FHA mortgage rates?

Well a lender makes a 100 or a 1000 home loans and then packages them into a MBS. They sell that MBS on the open market. The price the open market is willing to pay is what determines what interest rate will be charged on the mortgage. If the interest rate on a particular VA mortgage or an FHA mortgage isn’t high enough the MBS will not get sold and that’s not good. Banks only make their outrageous profits if they churn your money several times. Remember that the deposits they use to make an FHA mortgage or a VA mortgage is your money. Simply lending it out once isn’t enough they have to lender it out several times over but that’s another story.

The Fed has been buying MBS with below market interest rates and in doing so they have kept the interest rate below market. You the taxpayer have been subsiding the mortgage market. I’ll bet you didn’t know that did you?  When the Fed stops buying the open market must buy the MBS or the entire housing industry will come to a screeching halt. To sell the MBS banks will inevitably have to charge more interest.

Now why will prices fall on homes for sale in Everett? The price a home can sell for has a great deal to do with mortgage money liquidity. If interest rates are up that means a buyer with a limited budget can not buy as much home as before. If I have a $1000 a month maximum payment I can buy more home at 5% than I can at 6.5%.

So when the fed stops buying MBS on March 1, 2010 expect prices to fall on homes for sale in Everett. Expect interest rates to increase on all FHA mortgages, VA mortgages and all long term projects.

Jim Johnson and comments are always welcome.

Everett Mortgage on Line.

Value of Real Estate in Everett Affected by Govt Program

Saturday, January 16th, 2010

1 In 4 Out of work affects value of Everett Houses

How do Everett houses keep there value when 1 in 4 out of work? The value of real estate in Everett is hurt when 22% are unemployed. I have been shouting this for months.. Mr. Obama we need JOBS.

Today the White House breathlessly announced that a $2,300,000,000 “Green Jobs” program that will create approximately 17,000 subsidized TEMPORARY JOBS.

Well let’s see $2,300,000,000 divided by 17,000 equals $135,295.19 per TEMPOARY JOB.

Heck of a deal Mr. Obama.

These TEMPORARY JOBS he has created will be in wind and solar industries. These industries have to have a 30% subsidy to get even close to being economically viable. NONE of the technology is invented yet. Without a staggering improvement in technology they can’t compete in the market place. This is unsustainable.

The stupidity of the Obama administration is appalling. If he really wanted to create jobs he could start with simply drilling for the oil we will need for any recovery that might take hold, even in this political environment. In just a year or two when (if) a recovery starts, unless we drill now we will see $6 and $7 a gallon gasoline. Then when that happens any recovery is dead before it even starts.

How are we going to pay our mortgages in Everett? How will we keep the value of real estate in Everett from falling thru the floor? If 22% or about 1 in 4 is out of work how does that affect the value of houses in Everett?

Now you have idiots like the Governor of Wisconsin, a state I used to live in. Wisconsin Gov. Doyle says a clean energy bill will mean thousands of green jobs and result in energy savings for consumers and business. This guy takes you for a complete fool. He says that this Clean Energy Bill will create 15,000 green jobs by 2025. What we do until then is a mystery to me.

The value of real estate in Everett will remain stagnate for the foreseeable future. Everett homes will not appreciate in value without more jobs, it’s that simple.

Jim Johnson and comments are always welcome.

Everett Mortgage on Line.

Everett Mortgage Homes for Sale Everett Shadow Inventory

Saturday, January 2nd, 2010

Shadow Inventory may be 1.7 million homes

I am getting conflicting numbers on the “shadow inventory” of REO property. This can have a major impact on homes for sale Everett. First let me define shadow inventory and REO property. Shadow inventory is the foreclosed homes not yet on the market. REO property is the real estate owned by banks. REO property can be on the market or not yet available for sale.

Last April the San Francisco Chronicle and many other media outlets were reporting we had about 600,000 homes owned by lenders that were not on the market. It was reported that the lenders were not getting these homes ready for sale but simply holding them for better market conditions. Some reports suggested that as many as 70% of the REO homes were not on the market.

The problem with shadow inventory is they tend to degrade neighborhoods. They tend to get rundown quickly by attracting squatters, vandals and animal critters. They also depress prices for homes for sale Everett in 2 ways. One they depress resale values and two they make it hard to refinance.

There is real benefit for investors and regular buyers because these homes mostly have nothing wrong with them they just smell bad.

Now the real problem is that they will threaten any significant market recovery until they filter through and become available for sale.

The Really Bad News

Now here’s the really bad news. First America Core Logic published a report that as of September 2009 we have 1,700,000 homes in the shadow inventory. The report is in conflict with the April reports and stated that one year ago we had 1,100,000 in the shadow inventory. Because the Core Logic report is a real data source I tend to believe it much more the unreliable newspapers. The Core Logic does offer some good news in that the total inventory of housing for sale did drop somewhat. One year ago it was 5.7 million and now the total inventory is 5.5 million. But wait that silver cloud has a black lining.

Right now based on current rates would take about 11.1 months to sell. But we have artificially low interest rates and a first time buyers credit that will end next spring. When the Fed stops buying mortgage backed securities next spring interest rates will climb quickly. Combine that with a buyer credit expiring and I think it will take a lot longer to sell any home for sale Everett.

Jim Johnson and any comments are welcome.

Everett mortgage: 5 Things to look for when buying your first Home

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The smart way to use your VA mortgage or your FHA mortgage

These ideas work for California real estate and Everett real estate. Before we even start looking for homes for sale Everett I will assume you have done what I call the 3 basic tasks you need to do before buying your first home.

  1. You have found a good loan officer and have qualified for a VA or FHA mortgage. The reason I suggest a VA mortgage is because it is the only true zero down mortgage available without heavy restrictions. Now if you don’t qualify for the VA mortgage you should be able to qualify for a FHA mortgage. The FHA mortgage has the lowest down payment (3.5% of the purchase price) and is the easy to qualify for.
  2. Next before anything else I suggest you see a qualified tax professional. The reason I suggest this is because if you have never owned a home before you will be surprised at the tax benefits of home ownership. Tax planning is always best done before the act not after.
  3. Find a good real estate agent. Be sure that the agent knows the area you are considering.

1) Ask you agent to look for a neighborhood in transition. Usually your best bargains for a home for sale in Everett are in neighborhoods in transition. Now what exactly is a neighborhood in transition? The first thing is how many of the homes look to be rental as opposed to owner occupied? If you really want to know that here is a simple way. Have your agent ask a title insurance company for an area report of owner occupied vs. non owner occupied homes. In the report they will have dates of sales recordings. This way you can get a feel for the way the neighborhood is going.

2) Next really look at the homes in the area. Look for well kept yards, signs of home remodeling, new paint, new roofs, etc. Does the neighborhood have CCR’s? CCR’s are codes, covenants and restrictions. In Everett there is the historic area. In this area you have to maintain your home in certain ways. In an larger area developed by a single developer you will usually find CCR’s. These can be minor to major restrictions. If you are buying a Condo there are ALWAYS CCR’s.

3) Another source of information is the local police records. These records can show which way crime is going. Usually owner occupied homes will have a lower crime rate than rentals, for obvious reasons. Look for bars on windows and doors.

4) Just because a home for sale in Everett isn’t listed doesn’t mean you can’t buy it. When I go shopping for real estate bargains I look for homes owned by very long term owners. Retired people who may be snowbirds or simply not able to keep a home up anymore just might be open to an offer.

5) How about expired listings, there are plenty in California real estate. In this market many homes haven’t sold for various reasons. Here is when you can find so interesting bargains. Here is when creative financing can occur. If the seller is wiling you can actually buy a home without a formal loan. I don’t recommend this unless you have the help of someone experienced in this. This is true sweat equity. This is the way I bought my very first home in West Lynn OR. I bought it then fixed it up and got formal financing later.

You are allowed only one VA mortgage at a time. The same is true with an FHA mortgage. Use them wisely and they will make you a lot of money.

Comment and suggestions are most welcome.

Jim Johnson

Everett mortgage: Good Idea depends on Jobs

Thursday, November 26th, 2009

The US taxpayers on the hook again.

Well at least someone is making money from Everett mortgages. But it ain’t me and I want a shot at this. Because here is another Wall Street bailout. Another Timothy Geithner bailout special where the US taxpayer is on the hook for bad mortgages. Politicians caused the mortgage mess and now there cronies who finance their election campaigns are getting rich on you all over again. They did it with TARP and the other “Stimulus Bills” and now they are doing it through the back door.
Here’s how it works. An investor (who should assume the risks but according to the feds is “To Big to Fail”) owns say $100 million is MBS (mortgage backed securities). MBS are simply a whole bunch of mortgages bundled into one deal. Let’s say as a bank I have to Mark to Market. That is I have to write down the value to what those mortgages are really worth. So I value it at $40 Mil. Because of TARP this bank will qualify for a federal bailout and probably mitigate the loss so that is will not be a big deal. The US taxpayer bails out the big investor again. This adds to our monstrous deficit.
Another investor, Investor B, buys this for the $40 Mil. The new investor goes through each loan and finds the ones who can make payments with a bit of help. He will write out a new mortgage at a lower dollar amount and charge a lower interest rate. Because he paid $0.40 on the dollar he can do this.
Each mortgage holder is contacted by Investor B and negotiations ensue. Investor B has a lot of room to negotiate he can adjust the new mortgage downwards and still make money. As Investor B goes through he rewrites every mortgage he can. By lowering the standards he re-qualifies as many mortgages as he can. Now here is where the baloney ensues. Investor B now sells the loans as a package to a federal agency. Let’s say he sells it for $80 Mil. True he does have costs involved but the profit is enormous. And can you guess who is on the hook for all these loans? That’s right you are.
The reason this all depends on jobs is very simple. Without a job I don’t care how much lower you make the mortgage payment or the mortgage interest rate you can’t make a payment. As I have stated before, many times in fact, without jobs our economy is going nowhere but down.
So now can you see how the US taxpayer is screwed again? Vote every incumbent out. Especially those who are voting for more deficit increasing expenditures.

Jim Johnson and Comments are always welcome

Everett mortgage: Hold the Politicians responsible

Thursday, November 26th, 2009

Negative Equity: Good News Bad News

First the good news. It turns out that less people are upside down in their mortgages than was previously thought. First American Corelogic has released a report that shows a more precise view of who is underwater. Under the old way 33.8% of all home owners in America would have negative equity. Well here’s the good news under their new calculations ONLY 23% of ALL AMERICAN home owners are underwater. Wow makes my day. Only 1 in every 4 home owners is holding on with an upside down mortgage.

  • Some lowlights from the study are: 10.7 million or 23% of all residential properties were upside down in their mortgages. Plus an additional 2.3 million are getting close.
  • The distributions of negative mortgages are mainly in 5 states. In Nevada 65% of all homes are upside down. Then Arizona at 48%, Florida at 45% Michigan at 37% and last but hardly least California at 35%. If you were to average these numbers against all other states these five are about 40% under water and every one else is about 14%.

Now we can track these bad mortgages because a huge portion of them were made during the last part of the housing bubble from 2005 to 2008. I think of all the dreams shattered by our idiots in congress and I want to cry. Sure there are some speculators and some frauds but mostly these were Joe averages who wanted a piece of the American dream.

I ask you how can we how the politician responsible for this disaster? Well that’s simple enough we can hold they to their empty promises in the next election.

People please when you next vote, and please do vote, hold your local politician to the wall and vote ‘em out.

Jim Johnson and comments are always welcome

Everett mortgage: More Government screw ups

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

More Government Interference in the Real Estate Market

or

The LAW of unintended consequences

HVCC (Home Valuation Code of Conduct) was supposed to help with inflated appraisals. It was supposed to keep appraisers from being pressured by lenders. Instead it killed the real estate market. It lead to fewer choices for the consumer, lower fees to appraisers, non certified non professional people doing appraisals and many more unforeseen consequences. It practically killed the conventional mortgage market.

Now we have more government interferences. And we will have more unforeseen consequences.

Since the real estate bubble collapse FHA mortgages have saved the American economy. The share of purchase applications for government-backed loans by the Federal Housing Administration and other agencies surpassed 40% in August, up from 38% in July and 32% in August 2008.  That’s the highest share that the MBA has measured since February 1991. That was just before the subprime mortgage boom.

Without the FHA mortgage there simply would be no real estate market. And now the fools in Washington want to “fix it”. The very people who are responsible for the mortgage meltdown are now going to fix the only thing that is keeping our economy going. Here’s what they are considering:

  • It is true that FHA mortgage insurance funds are below federal mandated minimums but this is really an accounting issue. It is not a solvency problem. It is true that some FHA mortgages are behind or into foreclosure. But so are many prime conventional loans. A vast majority of these bad loans were the result of a ZERO down scam type of FHA mortgage. These loans were called Nehemiah or Hart or some other name but allowed for a FHA mortgage to be used without any money from the buyer. These loans are no longer allowed.
  • Currently if you have at least 620 (and most lenders are going to 640) credit and 3.5% down you can buy a home with an FHA mortgage. Until early this year FHA rules allowed a buyer to qualify with a credit score as low as 560 in some cases. Now it’s 620 and more often 640. So now a buyer needs pretty good credit to buy. Critics say the credit score should be increased but that defeats FHA’s purpose and that is to serve the marginal buyer. A 620-640 score is not a bad score. Critics also say 3.5%  isn’t enough “skin in the game” and want to increase the down payment. Some want 5% and few even want 10%. I want you to know that raising the minimum down payment would defeat the basic idea of an FHA mortgage.
  • Currently there are 2 different types of mortgage insurance on every FHA mortgage. First there is UFMIP (Up Front Mortgage Insurance Premium) and is 1.75% of the loan amount. This is up from 1.5% at the end of last year. Next there is a MI (Monthly Insurance) and this is .5% or .55% of the monthly payment depending on the amount of down payment. Here I think we can tweak some. We can raise the UFMIP or increase the monthly MI or increase both. Please remember that increasing these fees will lower the loan amount that a buyer can qualify for. This will lower the amount of home they qualify for. I believe that minor adjustments here is the only way to improve the insurance coverage without screwing up an already fragile market.
  • Next some would cut the amount a seller can contribute to a buyer for closing costs. Again this is short sighted. Currently a seller can give back to a buyer up to 6% of the purchase price for closing costs. Usually closing costs will run around 3.5% +/-. Well any good loan officer will use the extra money to buy down the buyers’ interest rate and make the loan / home even more affordable to the buyer.
  • Next some say we should toughen the credit standards. Well the free market has already done that. Because the buyers of mortgage backed securities (MBS) will not buy a loan that has credit score of less than 620 there is no need to do this. In fact the market has said that unless the buyer has a 640 score most will not buy the MBS.

So I say to the guys who screwed this up in the first place keep your mitts off and let the free market do it. Just as they should have done right from the start. Every time the government gets involved they screw it up. I mean EVERY SINGLE TIME.

Jim Johnson

As Featured on ArticleCity.com

Everett mortgage: The smart way to buy your first home.

Saturday, November 21st, 2009

I am going to suggest you see not one or two professionals at first.

I am suggesting three.

  1. The first person you should see is a professional lender. Find one you can trust. I believe that the lender who has to tell you everything is more trustworthily than one who doesn’t. I suggest you use a mortgage broker and not a mortgage banker. Here is why. Bankers don’t have to disclose nearly as much as a broker does. That means a banker can hide fees and YSP from you. I know you are asking what is a YSP? A Yield Spread Premium is a rebate the lender pays for your loan. If the going interest rate is 5.25% but the mortgage banker gets you to take a 5.5% loan he gets money on the backside of your loan. The mortgage banker doesn’t have to tell you about that money. If a mortgage broker has you take a 5.5% loan he at least has to tell you what he is making on the backside. You see mortgage bankers have a very powerful lobby in Washington DC. Brokers don’t. There really are very good reasons why YSP are allowed. For example suppose you have your down payment but not much more. Suppose your real estate agent wasn’t sharp and didn’t get the seller to pay your closing costs. A loan costs anywhere from $5000 to $10,000 and sometimes more. A good lender will use the YSP to pay those costs for you. There are other reasons for a YSP but we will save that for another time. Your lender will tell you how much you qualify for and thereby how much home you can afford. I suggest you might try one of two lenders. Cheapest is almost always just that the cheapest and nothing more. In lending just as in life you get what you pay for.
  2. The next person you should see is a tax professional. Tax planning is always best done before the fact and not after it. A tax pro will be able to tell you how a purchase will impact your personal tax return. A good tax pro will also be able to pick up the “fees” the lender will charge. You see many of the fees lenders charge on a purchase are named one thing but are really interest in disguise. That interest in disguise becomes a major deduction in the first year of your purchase. A good tax pro will tell you how to increase your take home pay to make buying your first home much easier. Because interest is deductible and rent isn’t a home payment is not the same as a rental payment. So $1800 in a home payment is usually about the same as $1500 in rent. A tax pro can explain and show that to you.
  3. Now you finally get to your real estate agent. A good agent will listen to you and show you a home you can afford. A good agent is more interested in making you happy than in their commission. There might be an exact home out there waiting for you. Then again there might not be. Pick a neighborhood in transition. If the right home isn’t available wait and it might appear. A proactive buyer might look at the cosmetic fixers in the right area. A proactive buyer might actually approach some of these absentee owners and make a lowball offer and find thereby find a heck of a bargain. Just because a home isn’t on the market right now doesn’t mean it’s not available for the right price. If you find an interested seller have your agent do the negotiating because that’s what they do. Just because you don’t find the right home right away don’t give up. Many buyers look for months to find the right bargain.

In previous posts I mention how to look for a neighborhood in transition.

Also how to tell if that neighborhood is actually in transition. Buying your first home should be an adventure, it should be fun. Have lots of fun.

Jim Johnson

Everett mortgage: what to look for in your first home

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

The second part of an ongoing series on the new real estate market

Let’s review: I know that the very first thing you did was to get qualified for an FHA mortgage and that you have the 3.5% down payment. Next I know you have engaged a qualified loan officer and real estate agent. Third I know you have contacted a tax professional to do your tax planning before you buy a home.

Next we will keep in mind the first 3 things about buying your first home.

1)     You are going to look for a home that doesn’t necessarily look that good from the street. Remember it has to qualify for a mortgage. The ideal home if I am buying to build sweat equity is close to the smallest in the neighborhood. It should not have a brick exterior or something that you can’t expand without great effort. The first home I bought (in 1975 for $11,500) had that fake brick exterior (asbestos) and was sloughing off so the house looked like it had cancer. There were junk cars and trash all over the place. The front porch was falling off. It had a huge yard with a tall pear tree and an over grown apple tree. It was the eyesore of the street. My wife looked at it and said you want to buy this piece of S—? I said Honey we could buy it, tear down the house and sell the ground for $25,000. She thought a moment and said, “Tell me more”. Well we bought it and I spent an entire summer fixing it up. I put in a new foundation, a random lap cedar shingle siding, new windows, new baseboard heaters, new breaker panel, dropped the ceiling in the kitchen, patched and replaced the lath and plaster with drywall as needed in about 4 months of very hard work. 2 Years later I sold the home for $49.900. And I had never pounded a nail for money in my life. I barely knew which end of a hammer to use. Now I don’t expect you to be as crazy as I was but there are many easy cosmetic fixers out there you just have to look a bit harder. PS I looked for over 6 months to find that home.

2)     You are looking for a neighborhood in transition. There are lots of homes for sale in Everett. This is one that has a healthy mix of rentals turning into owner occupied homes. You find that out by knocking on a few doors and opening your eyes. Look at how the homes in the area are being taken care of. Look at the difference between the well cared for and the not so well cared for. If you see more of the former than the later than it might be a good idea to watch what goes on the market and be ready to buy when the right one comes along. PS Don’t be afraid to make an offer on a home that isn’t for sale. Research the title and see if the home is a rental. Find the owners and make a low ball offer.

3)     Last the 3 “S’s”. You know the sit sip and poop ones. Does the house have a good foundation, does it sit well? Do you have good water, that’s the sip. And are you on a septic or sewer? That’s the poop one.

Now on to electrical, remodeling, and landscaping. Remember to KISS your project. Keep it simple.

1)     Electrical is not hard if you take a bit of time to learn the basics. Because you as a home owner can do anything (within reason) and you don’t need to be licensed to do it. There is nothing you can’t do if you really want to do it. Does the home have a basement, crawl space or does it sit on a slab?  Basements and crawl spaces are the easiest to work. Rewiring a home is not that big of a deal. You need to get permits and follow codes but that isn’t hard. Some of the electricians I have met prove to me that even a monkey can rewire a home. While you are at it be sure to install cable and T-1 lines as that will add to the value of your new home.

2)     Remodeling is where creativity is useful. But keep it simple. I am always looking to open up rooms. First I look to see if the wall I want to remove is load bearing. If you have any doubts hire someone who knows, don’t knock out a wall unless you know it is not load bearing. If you are going to replace carpets or add hardwoods then now it the time to look at removing walls. Or port a wall. This is cutting out a section and maybe adding a shelf. Visually this opens up space and makes even small homes more attractive. There are no limits to creativity when doing this. You will also be amazed at how cheap it is if you do it yourself. Some things to keep in mind. How about a small drop-in cook top in the master bedroom. Also a small refrigerator and sink. So you can heat up something on a lazy Sunday.

3)     Landscaping. Here keep it simple is the rule. I like a little yard work but not a lot. I have many other things to take my time. I like lots of bark dust and simple flower gardens. If you want something that takes a lot of time remember that the next guy you sell to might not. So keep the yard simple and let the next owner decide what he wants to do.

Remember that you should start with finding out if you can qualify for an Everett mortgage. Now when you want to buy a home for sale in Everett you will know what to look for get the best price.

Everett mortgage: New move along home buyer credit will work

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

Great News Finally a Tax Credit that will help

Finally something that will help homes for sale in Everett. So get an Everett mortgage and start house hunting. It’s the new $6500 tax credit for “Move Along Buyers”. You can buy up, down or across it doesn’t matter what the new price is related to your current home. If you qualify for this credit and you have been thinking about buying another home you just might want to act now. You have until April 30, 2010 to sign a contract and till June 30, 2010 to close.

The qualifications are simple:

1)     You must have been living in you home for 5 continuous years out of the last 8.

2)     Make no more that $125,000 as a single person or $250,000 married filing joint.

3)     The new home can not cost more than $800,000.

4)     Qualify for a new Everett mortgage.

AND YOU CAN CLAIM THE CREDIT AS SOON AS YOU CLOSE! When you close in 2009 you can amend your 2008 tax return or if you close buy June 30, 2010 you can amend your 2009 return. You will use form 5405. Now I want you to do something nobody else tells you to do, but I have written about before. Check with your tax man BEFORE you buy to verify the tax impact on your personal return. Tax planning is legal, wise and best done before the purchase and not after it.

As I said you can buy up, down or sideways and buy a variety of dwelling types. A single family home, condo, mobile, manufactured home and even a houseboat all qualify for the credit. BUT the credit isn’t available for a second home or investment properties.

Big brother will be watching, IRS has been told to watch this credit far more closely than before. See my blog entry titled “Homes for sale in Everett generate fraudulent claims”. There has been a large amount of abuse for the early edition of the first time home buy credit.

Here is a great tip. The credit can be used without selling your current home. If you ever thought of gaining wealth the right way now is the time. There is nothing against turning your current home into a rental and buying a new personal residence. Tip: If you want to cash out refinance your current home and turn it into a rental you better refinance now. Then hold the money until March and look for something to close by end of June. You see when you refinance you state that this is your personal residence and you will live there. But it doesn’t say for how long. If you live there for 5-7 months you should be OK. Now when you buy your next home just move into it right after you close so there is no dispute as to which one is your home of record. If you want a deeper explanation call a good mortgage broker.

This is one government program that might actually help homes for sale in Everett. The only trick to buying another home and keeping the first is qualifying for an Everett mortgage. If your present home doesn’t have an FHA or VA mortgage you just might have a great deal in the making. If you can come up with 3.5% of the purchase price you can get an FHA mortgage. If you qualify for a VA mortgage you can buy with zero down. I am a great believe in real estate as a long term investment. I think it’s a safer investment than the stock market. But that’s a personal opinion and probably biased. Biased because after all I am in the Everett mortgage business.